Mountfield HK is the favourite to win at HC Verva Litvínov in the Tipsport Extraliga’s 11th-round fixture, according to the Game Score model. The teams meet in an early match of the round, with Litvínov at home.
The model puts Mountfield’s chances of victory close to 65%. Bookmakers also lean towards the visitors, although they consider the game more evenly matched; the article says their odds offer value on Mountfield compared with the model’s assessment.
Game Score bases its match predictions on 50,000 simulations. Factors include each team’s current roster, with injuries and suspensions taken into account, as well as home advantage. The article notes that home teams won more than 57% of games across the previous three seasons. In the last season, the model correctly picked the winner in 62% of matches.