Sparta Praha are strong favourites to beat HC Olomouc in the 14th-round game, according to the league website’s Game Score model. The model gives Sparta more than an 80 per cent chance of winning, making this the most one-sided forecast of the season so far. The bookmakers agree with the prediction, and the article offers no betting tip for the game.
The match is the first of the second quarter of the regular season, following the completion of its opening quarter. Sparta won the teams’ first meeting, played in Olomouc. After 13 games, Sparta were 10th in the table with 17 points, while Olomouc were last with eight.
The model’s predictions are based chiefly on each team’s current roster, accounting for injuries and suspensions, as well as home advantage. The article says each team’s winning chances are calculated from 50,000 simulations. In the previous season, Game Score correctly predicted the winner in 62 per cent of games.