Třinec is the strongest favourite in the Game Score model’s predictions for the remaining six games of the Czech Extraliga’s 13th round. The league leaders host České Budějovice, with the model giving the home side more than a 70 per cent chance of winning.
Hradec Králové, hosting Karlovy Vary, and visiting Plzeň, playing in Litvínov, are also each assigned a win probability above 60 per cent. The other three fixtures are projected to be closer, with the model giving the home teams a slight edge: Vítkovice against Kometa Brno, Liberec against Sparta Praha, and Kladno against Pardubice.
The model favours Vítkovice over Kometa, although bookmakers favour the visitors. Pardubice’s injury problems, including longer-term absences for two leading players, make them a more beatable opponent for Kladno, the article says. Hradec Králové is rated more strongly by Game Score than by bookmakers, reflecting its sustained playing advantage.
The predictions are based on 50,000 simulations and account for current rosters, injuries, suspensions and home advantage. The article says the model selected the match winner correctly in 62 per cent of games last season.