Game Score makes Karlovy Vary the favourite to beat Brno in Tuesday’s completion of the sixth round, giving Energie more than a 60% chance of victory. In the other game, an advance fixture from round 15, Vítkovice will host Liberec, but the model gives the slight edge to the visiting Bílí Tygři.
Vítkovice are considered underdogs despite playing at home. The article says the team, along with Olomouc, is at the bottom of the standings and that the other teams are beginning to pull away. The model’s authors offer no betting tip after what they describe as Sunday’s fiasco, although they note a slight odds advantage for Vítkovice for those interested.
Game Score bases match predictions chiefly on each team’s current roster, accounting for injuries and suspensions, as well as home advantage. The probabilities are calculated from 50,000 simulations. The article reports that the model has correctly picked the winner in 65% of games so far this season.